# Monarch Castle Technologies full corpus

Decision intelligence grounded in transparent data and calibrated forecasting.

## Entity definitions

- Monarch Castle Technologies: independent technology company publishing transparent early-warning and decision-intelligence products for private-sector operators with cross-border exposure.
- The Keep: unified early-warning workspace combining geopolitical, economic, energy, and supply-chain signals into one source-visible operating picture.
- Border Neighbor Threat Index (BNTI): cross-border index whose score is currently withdrawn after classification failure.
- World Threat Index (WTI): standing open-source index for comparative global geopolitical threat pressure across countries and blocs.
- MENA Threat Index: standing open-source index for regional threat assessment across the Middle East and North Africa.
- SDCofA: Strategic Data Company of Ankara, the endorsed analytical unit of Monarch Castle Technologies that publishes the standing threat indices.

## Products

- Caspian & Black Sea Monitor (MonarchCastleTech): https://monarchcastle.com/caspian-black-sea-monitor/ — A source-backed corridor warning indicator with declared analyst weights; its score is not an event probability. Method: https://github.com/MonarchCastleTech/caspian-black-sea-monitor/blob/main/README.md. Cadence: every 6 hours.
- Climate Security News Monitor (SDCofA): https://monarchcastle.com/sdcofa/climate-security-index/ — Source-linked climate and security headlines. The feed is a topical sample and does not produce a risk score. Method: https://github.com/SDCofA/climate-security-index/blob/main/README.md. Cadence: every 6 hours.
- Cloudy&Shiny Index (MonarchCastleTech): https://monarchcastle.com/Cloudy-Shiny/ — A market sentiment composite built from observed prices and public fear/greed feeds; it does not forecast returns. Method: https://github.com/MonarchCastleTech/Cloudy-Shiny/blob/main/README.md. Cadence: hourly.
- Conflict News Monitor (SDCofA): https://monarchcastle.com/sdcofa/conflict-early-warning/ — Source-linked conflict headlines for reading. The feed does not calculate an early-warning probability. Method: https://github.com/SDCofA/conflict-early-warning/blob/main/README.md. Cadence: every 6 hours.
- Cyber Threat News Monitor (SDCofA): https://monarchcastle.com/sdcofa/cyber-exposure-map/ — Source-linked cyber incident and vulnerability headlines, with no geographic exposure map or score. Method: https://github.com/SDCofA/cyber-exposure-map/blob/main/README.md. Cadence: every 6 hours.
- Defense Procurement Intelligence (MonarchCastleTech): https://monarchcastle.com/defense-procurement/ — Tracks sourced procurement and policy signals through an analyst-weighted indicator, not an official procurement statistic. Method: https://github.com/MonarchCastleTech/defense-procurement/blob/main/README.md. Cadence: every 6 hours.
- EconMap (MonarchCastleTech): https://monarchcastle.com/econmap/ — Source-linked country indicators with explicitly illustrative scenarios. Unsupported composite risk and regional figures are withheld. Method: https://github.com/MonarchCastleTech/econmap/blob/main/README.md. Cadence: review-required.
- ESGMap (MonarchCastleTech): https://monarchcastle.com/esgmap/ — Maps sourced ESG indicators and an openly weighted editorial composite; missing observations remain unavailable. Method: https://github.com/MonarchCastleTech/esgmap/blob/master/README.md. Cadence: review-required.
- MacroIntel (MonarchCastleTech): https://monarchcastle.com/macrointel/ — World Bank macro data and UN Comtrade goods exports; inbound trade links are labeled as mirrored partner exports where needed. Method: https://github.com/MonarchCastleTech/macrointel/blob/main/README.md. Cadence: review-required.
- MENA Energy Flow Tracker (MonarchCastleTech): https://monarchcastle.com/mena-energy-flow/ — A source-backed regional warning proxy for energy corridors; the score is not measured shipment volume or a risk probability. Method: https://github.com/MonarchCastleTech/mena-energy-flow/blob/main/README.md. Cadence: every 6 hours.
- MILCODEC Receiver (MonarchCastleTech): https://monarchcastle.com/milcodec-receiver/ — A technical decoder demonstration with sample packets and a shared demo key; it does not publish operational intelligence. Method: https://github.com/MonarchCastleTech/milcodec-receiver/blob/main/README.md. Cadence: review-required.
- Nuclear Energy Intelligence (MonarchCastleTech): https://monarchcastle.com/NuclearEnergyIntelligence/ — OWID-derived nuclear electricity shares for 23 selected countries, with observation years. Unsourced facility and project modules are withheld pending record-level verification. Method: https://github.com/MonarchCastleTech/NuclearEnergyIntelligence/blob/main/README.md. Cadence: weekly source check.
- Nuclear Policy News Monitor (SDCofA): https://monarchcastle.com/sdcofa/nuclear-proliferation-watch/ — Source-linked nuclear policy headlines. No facility-level or proliferation-risk estimate is published. Method: https://github.com/SDCofA/nuclear-proliferation-watch/blob/main/README.md. Cadence: every 6 hours.
- Port Congestion Pulse (MonarchCastleTech): https://monarchcastle.com/port-congestion-pulse/ — A declared early-warning proxy from port, weather, and disaster feeds; it is not a direct measure of vessel waiting time. Method: https://github.com/MonarchCastleTech/port-congestion-pulse/blob/main/README.md. Cadence: every 6 hours.
- PrepTurk (MonarchCastleTech): https://monarchcastle.com/prepturk/ — A static preparedness resource grounded in official sources; it does not provide live alerts or a public AI service. Method: https://github.com/MonarchCastleTech/prepturk/blob/master/README.md. Cadence: review-required.
- Sanctions News Monitor (SDCofA): https://monarchcastle.com/sdcofa/sanctions-exposure-index/ — Source-linked sanctions headlines. No country or company exposure index is currently calculated. Method: https://github.com/SDCofA/sanctions-exposure-index/blob/main/README.md. Cadence: every 6 hours.
- Süper Lig Forecast (MonarchCastleTech): https://monarchcastle.com/superlig-forecast/ — Current-season probabilities use all 18 official TFF clubs and completed results in a historically evaluated structural model. No current squad values are imputed. Method: https://github.com/MonarchCastleTech/superlig-forecast/blob/main/README.md. Cadence: every 6 hours.
- Supply Chain Intelligence (MonarchCastleTech): https://monarchcastle.com/supplychain/ — Browse source-linked company profiles and disclosed research gaps; unsupported global supply links have been removed. Method: https://github.com/MonarchCastleTech/supplychain/blob/master/README.md. Cadence: weekly.
- Türkiye Economic Sentiment Radar (MonarchCastleTech): https://monarchcastle.com/tr-economic-sentiment/ — A deterministic anomaly indicator using TCMB, FRED, OECD, and news inputs; its composite is not an official statistic. Method: https://github.com/MonarchCastleTech/tr-economic-sentiment/blob/main/README.md. Cadence: every 6 hours.
- Border Neighbor Threat Index (SDCofA): https://monarchcastle.com/sdcofa/bnti/ — Index publication is paused after article attribution failed; the prior country scores have been withdrawn. Method: https://github.com/SDCofA/border-neighbor-threat-index/blob/main/README.md. Cadence: publication paused.
- MENA Threat Index (SDCofA): https://monarchcastle.com/sdcofa/mena/ — A source-linked news pressure indicator. Its experimental forecast did not outperform a naive baseline in the published review. Method: https://github.com/SDCofA/mena-threat-index/blob/main/README.md. Cadence: every 2 hours.
- World Threat Index (SDCofA): https://monarchcastle.com/sdcofa/wti/ — A news-flow threat indicator using article classification, with substantial low-confidence heuristic coverage disclosed. Method: https://github.com/SDCofA/world-threat-index/blob/main/docs/wti-methodology.md. Cadence: every few hours.
- Election Monitor (SDCofA): https://monarchcastle.com/sdcofa/election/ — A sourced election calendar; grade-D structural simulations are retained for method review but numerical win probabilities are withheld. Method: https://github.com/SDCofA/election/blob/master/README.md. Cadence: review-required.
- GeoRisk (SDCofA): https://monarchcastle.com/sdcofa/georisk/ — Country probabilities are withheld while the last forecast snapshot is past its validity window. Method: https://github.com/SDCofA/georisk/blob/main/README.md. Cadence: publication paused.

## Narrative routes

- Monarch Castle | Open Data & Intelligence: https://monarchcastle.com/ — Explore sourced geopolitical, economic and energy observations with visible methods, dates and limitations.
- Products | Monarch Castle Technologies: https://monarchcastle.com/products/ — Explore the governed Monarch Castle Technologies portfolio and the endorsed SDCofA analytical family.
- The Keep Platform | Monarch Castle Technologies: https://monarchcastle.com/platform/ — The Keep is a free public workspace for source-linked geopolitical snapshots, country records and local watchlists.
- Operational Use Cases | Monarch Castle Technologies: https://monarchcastle.com/impact/ — See how energy, logistics, finance, and insurance teams can use transparent early-warning intelligence.
- Free Public Access | Monarch Castle: https://monarchcastle.com/pricing/ — The Keep and the public collection are free to explore without payment, a subscription or an account.
- Start Exploring | Monarch Castle: https://monarchcastle.com/pilot/ — Start exploring public datasets, maps and The Keep. Access is free and no intake is required.
- Datasets and Sources | Monarch Castle Technologies: https://monarchcastle.com/datasets/ — Review public data products, source routes, update cadences, and methodology links across the portfolio.
- Decision Intelligence Solutions | Monarch Castle Technologies: https://monarchcastle.com/solutions/ — See how strategy, data, intelligence, and forecasting standards support inspectable institutional decisions.
- Research and Insights | Monarch Castle Technologies: https://monarchcastle.com/insights/ — Read governed research notes, methodology records, and evaluation standards without fabricated activity feeds.
- Methodology | Monarch Castle Technologies: https://monarchcastle.com/methodology/ — Understand portfolio provenance, update cadence, evidence status, limitations, and forecast evaluation rules.
- Developers | Monarch Castle Technologies: https://monarchcastle.com/developers/ — Find public repositories, machine-readable sources, developer tools, licensing, and reproducibility guidance.
- Trust Center | Monarch Castle Technologies: https://monarchcastle.com/trust/ — Review the public commitments for provenance, claims, forecast evidence, security, licensing, and endorsement.
- Company | Monarch Castle Technologies: https://monarchcastle.com/company/ — Learn about Monarch Castle Technologies, its endorsed analytical unit SDCofA, governance, and contact routes.
- tools: https://monarchcastle.com/tools/
- mcp: https://monarchcastle.com/mcp/
- sdcofa: https://monarchcastle.com/sdcofa/

## Standing index APIs

- API index: https://monarchcastle.com/api
- BNTI: https://monarchcastle.com/api/bnti
- WTI: https://monarchcastle.com/api/wti
- MENA: https://monarchcastle.com/api/mena
- Indices catalog: https://monarchcastle.com/api/indices
- Raw BNTI snapshot: https://monarchcastle.com/sdcofa/bnti/bnti_data.json
- Raw WTI snapshot: https://monarchcastle.com/sdcofa/wti/wti_data.json
- Raw MENA snapshot: https://monarchcastle.com/sdcofa/mena/mena_data.json
- MCP endpoint: https://monarchcastle.com/mcp
- MCP server card: https://monarchcastle.com/.well-known/mcp/server-card.json

## FAQ

Q: What is Monarch Castle Technologies?
A: Monarch Castle Technologies is an independent technology company that publishes transparent early-warning and decision-intelligence products for private-sector operators. The public portfolio and The Keep are free.
Q: What is The Keep?
A: The Keep is a unified early-warning workspace that brings geopolitical, economic, energy, and supply-chain signals into one source-visible operating picture without paywalling the existing public dashboards.
Q: What are BNTI, WTI, and MENA?
A: BNTI is the Border Neighbor Threat Index for Türkiye's land-neighbor relationships, WTI covers global geopolitical pressure, and MENA covers Middle East and North Africa regional risk. BNTI's current score is withheld because its article classification failed.
Q: Are Monarch Castle public products free?
A: Yes. Every current public product, methodology page, and standing index remains free and open. The Keep public workspace is free to explore without an account.
Q: How can an application read the standing indices?
A: Read-only JSON is available at GET /api/bnti, GET /api/wti, GET /api/mena, and GET /api/indices with optional ?country= and ?top= query parameters. An MCP endpoint is also available at POST /mcp. No API key is required.
Q: Who publishes the standing indices?
A: SDCofA (Strategic Data Company of Ankara) is the endorsed analytical unit of Monarch Castle Technologies. It publishes public threat products with declared methods and publication status; BNTI's score is currently withheld.
Q: What products does Monarch Castle Technologies publish?
A: The portfolio covers market weather, country economics, ESG mapping, macro intelligence, defense signals, nuclear energy intelligence, emergency preparedness, football forecasting, supply networks, and the endorsed SDCofA standing threat indices.
Q: Which Monarch Castle products are free?
A: Every current public dashboard, methodology page, and standing index remains free and open. The Keep public workspace is also free.
Q: Who publishes the SDCofA products?
A: SDCofA (Strategic Data Company of Ankara) is the endorsed analytical unit of Monarch Castle Technologies and publishes BNTI, WTI, MENA, election, and GeoRisk intelligence surfaces.
Q: What is The Keep?
A: The Keep is a unified early-warning workspace that combines geopolitical, economic, energy, and supply-chain signals into one source-visible public workspace.
Q: Does The Keep replace the public dashboards?
A: No. BNTI's withdrawal notice, WTI, MENA, and every current public product remain independently accessible without an account. The Keep displays public snapshots, a local watchlist and source-linked records.
Q: Does the public platform preview store private customer data?
A: No. The live public preview reads only published product outputs. Private customer data is not collected or stored in that preview.
Q: Is The Keep free?
A: Yes. The public workspace, dashboards, source links and methods are free to explore without payment or an account.
Q: How should an index value be interpreted?
A: Treat each index as a focused analytical lens. Open the methodology route before quoting a score so provenance, cadence, limitations, and evidence status are visible.
Q: How often do standing indices refresh?
A: Each product declares its own update cadence and publication state. BNTI's index is currently withheld after classification failure; its endpoint carries a withdrawal notice.
Q: Are forecasts investment advice?
A: No. Forecast and index outputs are analytical aids, not investment advice or official government intelligence. Evaluation rules and limitations are published on the methodology and trust routes.
Q: What public commitments does the trust center publish?
A: The trust center covers provenance, claims policy, forecast evidence rules, security reporting, licensing, and the SDCofA endorsement relationship.
Q: How are security issues reported?
A: Report vulnerabilities through the published security policy rather than a public issue. The security route is linked from the trust center and site footer.
Q: What does SDCofA endorsement mean?
A: SDCofA is identified as the endorsed analytical unit of Monarch Castle Technologies. The relationship is explicit on company, products, and SDCofA routes.
Q: Is there a public JSON API?
A: Yes. GET /api, /api/bnti, /api/wti, /api/mena, and /api/indices are public read-only endpoints with optional ?country= and ?top= query parameters. No API key is required.
Q: Is there an MCP endpoint?
A: Yes. POST https://monarchcastle.com/mcp exposes get_index, get_bnti, list_indices, and get_site_page over streamable HTTP. Server card: /.well-known/mcp/server-card.json.
Q: Where is the source code?
A: Public repositories live under https://github.com/MonarchCastleTech and https://github.com/SDCofA. Repository links are listed on the developers route.
Q: How should outputs be used?
A: Read each observation with its source, date, method and limitations. Separate published statistics, proxies and forecast probabilities.
Q: How do I start?
A: Open The Keep or browse the dataset catalogue. Access is free and no intake is required.
Q: Where can I download standing index JSON?
A: Use GET /api/bnti, /api/wti, /api/mena, /api/indices or the canonical snapshots under /sdcofa/<index>/<index>_data.json. BNTI currently returns a withdrawal notice, not a valid score. The API catalog is at /.well-known/api-catalog.
Q: Does third-party data remain under its original terms?
A: Yes. Third-party data remains subject to its original terms. The datasets route documents public source routes and analytical scope.
Q: What is published on Insights?
A: Insights shows live public signal snapshots and selected governed records without fabricated activity feeds or unsupported performance claims.
Q: Is there an RSS feed?
A: Yes. Subscribe at /insights/feed.xml for automatically published, source-visible outputs from the public portfolio.
Q: Where is Monarch Castle Technologies based?
A: The company operates from Ankara, Türkiye and publishes open data instruments and analytical methods.
Q: What is SDCofA?
A: SDCofA (Strategic Data Company of Ankara) is the endorsed analytical unit of Monarch Castle Technologies and publishes the standing threat indices.
Q: How does delivery work?
A: Start with the decision and exposure, add only sources and models that materially improve it, then keep open products independently usable above a unified workflow layer.

## Glossary

- BNTI: Border Neighbor Threat Index — score withdrawn after article-classification failure; the public endpoint carries a withdrawal notice.
- WTI: World Threat Index — comparative global geopolitical threat pressure.
- MENA: MENA Threat Index — regional threat assessment for the Middle East and North Africa.
- SDCofA: Strategic Data Company of Ankara — endorsed analytical unit of Monarch Castle Technologies.
- The Keep: unified early-warning workspace layer above free public dashboards.
- Evidence chain: source context → analytical method → decision output with explicit limitations.

## Citation and limits

- Cite canonical page URLs and methodology links when quoting index values.
- Index outputs are analytical aids, not investment advice or official government intelligence.
- Inspect methodology and trust pages before reproducing a score or forecast claim.